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Posts Tagged ‘rare gold coins’
When to Buy $20 Liberties and $20 Saint Gaudens?
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The old adage says that timing is everything. Or that one should always buy low and sell high. With rarer issues of $20 Liberties and $20 Saint Gaudens, timing isn’t necessarily everything. Now, you can always buy rare gold coins in the dips in the market which will always produce better results over the long-term, but rare gold coins have proven over time to have performed very well, consistently. It should be noted that if you picked up some of these coins in 1989, which was the peak of the last bull market you would not have recovered yet. But if you look at a chart of mint state rare gold coins from 1970 to present, you can see that if you bought at any other time you would be doing fairly well.
Incidentally, we are currently experiencing what I believe to be a temporary low in these coins, which I presume will be a great buying opportunity. But where we are in the trend cycle I feel that we have many years to go before this market tops out.
Because of the high gold content of these coins, each Liberty and Saint-Gaudens Double Eagle contains .9675 ounces of gold, they will never be worth zero. Gold has never been worthless. This gives their owners an added layer of protection.
In addition, these types of coins are scarce. For example, millions of 1 ounce American Eagle coins are minted each year. Whereas PCGS and NGC estimate that somewhere around 1.5 million 1 ounce Liberties and Saints in a 62 to 66 grade exist today. This adds yet another layer of protection for their owners.
These coins have been excluded from gold confiscation in the past, and with the dollars extreme weakness, it is thought by many that another gold confiscation is looming. Many experts believe that the numismatics will again be excluded from confiscation if it were to occur. This is another layer of protection.
Due to these factors I believe that anytime is the right time to buy Liberties and Saints. They have proven time and time again, that they are a safe and private way to accumulate wealth over time.
Gold, Long-Term Hold
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When investing in gold you will often hear it called a long-term investment. What exactly does long-term mean? You will typically hear precious metals companies refer to a long-term hold as a period from 3-5 years up to 10 years or possibly more. Where did this come from? It was illegal in the U.S. to own gold from 1933 to 1974, and prior to that gold was pegged to the dollar for 100’s of years. So owning gold bullion as an investment is a fairly new thing. Its track record is currently at 36 years. When compared to other investments that is a fairly short time frame.
If you are reading this blog for the first time then we must pause and differentiate between the two types of gold you can own, bullion and numismatic gold. These two types of gold have different strategies for ownership behind them and different spreads (see previous blog post). These factors will determine length of hold. For more on the different types you can read bullion and rare gold coins.
My thoughts on long-term hold and where it came from is this. When the dollar was removed from the gold standard in 1970 the price action was allowed to free float. The price of gold rose from $35 per ounce to $850 per ounce in January of 1980. That was a fast and significant rise in the value. From there gold fell to its low of $252 per ounce in 1999, with ups and downs all along the way. That was a fairly slow and significant fall. Because gold as an investment is a fairly new opportunity companies want to disclose to their clients that it may take a while to grow your gold’s value. Gold’s recent climb from $252 per ounce in 1999 to $1,115 where it stands today has been a fairly steady rising pace. So if you bought bullion in 1999 you would have realized over a 340% gain.
There are times when it has taken a few years to see your gold grow and there have been times when it would have taken many years to see your gold grow. This is why everyone needs to DIVERSIFY their portfolios.
When comparing the two different types of gold, bullion and numismatics, these tend to perform differently. If you look at a PCGS chart you can clearly see that over the past 40 years numismatics have outperformed gold bullion. This is due to a few factors that make it unique, but mainly it is rarity. Because the cost of doing business is higher, it will take you longer to make up the difference, which is another factor in “long-term.” It should be noted that bullion and numismatics do not move in lock step with each other. In fact from 1987 to 1989, bullion lost roughly 10% of its value while numismatic coins according to PCGS went up over 600%.
The net of this is that sometimes it can take a short period of time to cover your costs of doing business, and other times it can take years. That is why it is noted by companies to think long-term when it comes to gold ownership, because no body really knows. In addition, many people choose gold to protect against a collapsing dollar, and in that case it could be a very long hold.
What does it Cost to buy Gold
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Buying gold coins should be a process of discovery; for you and for you representative. You will begin to discover the ins and outs of owning gold in your portfolio and what it can do for you. On the other side your broker should discover what your goals and objectives are. Items like: are you more concerned with asset protection or growth, are you long-term or short-term, what are your concerns about the future, how much of your overall portfolio do you want in gold, as well as other questions that may arise.
These questions will help you both narrow down to the right type of gold and or silver that is right for you. Once you have a strategy in place it is easy to begin to acquire the appropriate precious metals for you. This can take place in one lump some or your strategy could include a plan to acquire pieces over time.
There are various costs of doing business in each category of gold and silver. Bullion gold or silver, meaning loose coins and bars of a more recent issue, typically can range anywhere between 2-10% on average throughout the industry. This is what is known as the spread. The spread is the difference between retail and wholesale. Typically you will buy at retail and sell at wholesale. Common dated numismatic gold coins with typically rage anywhere between 15-25% and better dated or rare gold coins will typically range between 25-35%. These are averages; some can be higher or lower depending on the company. Make sure to choose a company that discloses their spread verbally and in writing and that it is clear exactly what their spread is (not a range).
Do not be afraid of high spreads! You want to use the right tool for the right job. That might mean owning rare gold coins which fetch a higher premium. This type of gold has outperformed gold bullion in the mint state rare category (according to PCGS) close to 4-1 over the past 40 years, and has some other very important benefits that other types of gold do not have. This type is a typically a longer term hold. For these reasons it is important to understand your options and your goals, in order to apply the right tool for the right job.
Gold Coins with Motto and without Motto?
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The motto on our gold coins is “In God We Trust.” This motto was added during the civil war and appeared on most of our “Liberty Head” coins from 1867 to 1907. In 1907 Theodore Roosevelt decided to have our gold coins redesigned in order to create a more beautiful coin, like those of the ancient Greek and Roman cultures. This coin is called the Saint Gaudens coin, after its designer Augustus Saint Gauden.
During the design process, Roosevelt asked that the motto be excluded. He knew that the men who used them in the West, were using them in brothels, saloons and gambling and thus he felt that the Lord’s name should not be associated with these activities. He expressed this feeling to reverend Roland C. Dryer in a letter dated November 11, 1907.
“My own feeling in the matter is due to my very firm conviction that to put such a motto [In God We Trust] on coins, or to use it in any kindred manner, not only does no good but does positive harm, and is in effect irreverence which comes dangerously close to sacrilege. A beautiful and solemn sentence such as the one in question should be treated and uttered only with that fine reverence which necessarily implies a certain exaltation of spirit. Any use which tends to cheapen it, and above all, any use which tends to secure it being treated in a spirit of levity, is from every standpoint profoundly to be regretted.”
Teddy Roosevelt’s wishes were granted and from 1907 to mid-way through 1908 and the coins were minted without the motto. It wasn’t until Congress got together and decided that they wanted the motto on our coins. They felt that it should be known that our nation believed in God and that it should be clearly stated on our currency. In 1908 the motto was put back on, therefore there are St. Gaudens coins that are minted both ways. There exists today a 1907 no motto, a 1908 no motto and a 1908 with motto. From 1908 to 1933 the coins continued to be minted with the motto.
Only roughly 5.2 million Saint Gaudens were minted without the motto, compared to over 65 million that were minted with the motto. This makes the no motto a rarer gold coin in relationship to mintages; however these coins are still fairly easy to acquire. There are rarer issues that exist, for example, there are roughly 10 1933 Saints know to exist.
Cost of Gold
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The cost of gold is rising, and has been for the last 10 years consistently. This action confirms the current gold bull market (see the previous blog for 10 year spot chart). For individual buyers the cost of gold differentiates depending on what type of gold you buy. Whether you buy gold bullion coins or bars, or rare gold coins, these prices will vary greatly.
Currently the spot price of gold is at $1,175 per ounce. According to many experts this is a great value, because they believe gold will hit $2,000 per ounce this year. The spot price of gold is an indicator value, like crude oil is to gasoline, spot gold is to physical gold. Therefore the cost you pay for physical gold will be the spot price plus a premium. Typically the premium will be anywhere from $50 to $150 above the spot price.
Gold bullion coins cost more than gold bullion bars, due to manufacturing costs. Coins are struck multiple times and treated with more care than gold bars. Therefore if you are looking for the cheapest costing gold you should buy gold bars.
Rare gold coins cost more than bullion coins and bars. This type of gold can range in price from a few hundred dollars more than a bullion coin to seven figures. This is due to the rarity and quality of a particular coin. The more common and the lower the grade of a coin the lower the cost, the higher the grade and the rarer the coin, the higher the cost. This type of gold has benefits that extend beyond what bullion can provide. While rare gold coins have these added benefits they still have the intrinsic value of the gold itself, and history has shown that the value of gold has never been zero.
Figure out your goals and objectives, and then acquire the right type of gold to support those goals. The cost will vary, but this should not matter. It is more important to acquire the right type for you then to buy the cheapest gold.
What to Buy, Gold Coins or Gold Bars
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A very common question is always what form of gold should I buy. Before you can answer this question you must understand the different types of gold you can own (click on bullion in the next sentance and rare gold coins in the last paragraph to read about them first). You can buy gold bullion or you can buy rare gold coins. If you are convinced that bullion is the way to go then, in my opinion, you should buy the cheapest possible option available. That can change depending on supply and demand.
Bullion coins come in many possible options. They vary in country of origin and in size. Depending on market conditions one particular coin can be more readily available than another. For example, there have been times recently that American Eagles were very sought after and commanded a higher price than the Canadian Maple Leaf. Both represent one full ounce of gold, but because of supply and demand issues one cost more than the other.
Coins typically cost more to produce than bars. Therefore a bar of gold is typically cheaper to purchase than a coin of the same number of ounces. In addition, if you purchase a large number of ounces at a time (typically 50 or more) you get a price break. This works for coins or bars. If you are looking for the absolute cheapest way to own gold, then bars in larger ounce sizes are for you. If you are looking for something to barter with in the event of a dollar collapse, then coins of the smallest sizes are for you. If you are looking for beauty in addition to owning gold, then proof one ounce coins are for you.
This brings us to rare gold coins. Many rare gold coin owners acquire U.S. rare gold coins minted prior to 1933. They are minted in identical ounce sizes as American Eagles; however these coins offer many advantages above and beyond their bullion content. Advantages like privacy, exclusion from previous gold confiscations and performance over bullion gold make this form of gold the best way to own gold in many peoples’ eyes. If you are looking for beauty, privacy, historical significance and long-term performance, then this type of gold is for you. They are more expensive than gold bullion due to their performance over history, and depending on how rare a particular coin is, it can be worth millions. When buying this type of gold coin, you are buying more than just the gold content.
The Elusive Proof Gold Coins
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Proof gold coins are among the rarest numismatic coins available on the market today. They offer a unique combination of beauty and extreme rarity. Because of their rarity they command attention and demand from well established collectors worldwide. This not only makes proof coins hard to come by, but also makes them very expensive. Some rare gold coins can easily run into the six figure range. Although there are some pleasing issues that exist for a few thousand dollars.
Proof gold coins were struck in the United States between 1820 and 1915 and promoted to collectors starting in 1858. Because they were not marketed to collectors until 1858 mintages prior to that year are very small and hard to find.
Proof gold coins are set apart from business strike coins by the care taken to mint each coin. Each coin is struck multiple times on high polished planchets, compared to only one time with business strike coins. This may not sound like a big deal, but it is an attempt by the most skilled engravers and pressmen to create a flawless coin of perfection. Gold is one of the softest metals further complicating the minting process. This factor in combination with extremely low mintages, sometimes only 50, makes finding pristine examples very difficult.
Because of this difficulty to locate proof gold coins, collectors sometimes wait years to find the coin they are looking for. Unlike business strike coins, proof coins were rare the day they were minted. With original mintages of around 50 examples, and typical survival rates of around 50%, a slight increase in demand can create dramatic run-ups in value. If you are enthralled with owning a significant piece of history, and admire beauty and craftsmanship, then owning proof gold coins might be the right fit for you.
Rare Gold Coins Outperform Gold Bullion
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Gold has been in a positive trend since 1999. We have seen gold come from $252 per ounce in 1999 to as high as $1,225 per ounce at the end of 2009. Over that 10 year period is a 386% gain. Over an even longer period of time we have seen gold come from $35 per ounce in 1970 to that same $1,225 mark in 2009. That is a 3,400% increase! But what have rare gold coins done over that same time frame?
According to PCGS, Mint State Rare Gold Coins have performed even better that gold bullion since 1970. On their site, a $1,000 acquisition of mint state rare gold coins in 1970 would be worth $114,489 today. That is an 11,348% increase! That means that rare gold coins have outperformed gold bullion close to 4 to 1 over the past 40 years.
There are a few factors as to why this has occurred. Gold bullion only has the value of the gold content itself. If you own a 1 ounce gold bullion coin, like an American Eagle, then it is worth 1 ounce of gold. Rare gold coins also posses the intrinsic value of gold. A $20 Liberty minted between 1849 and 1907 contains one ounce of gold, so therefore it will never be worth less than the gold content itself. However, rare gold coins also have value do to their quality and rarity. However, the main factor that contributes to their value is supply and demand forces. No one can mint coins prior to 1933, therefore supply is limited. As demand heats up, supply becomes tighter and the value goes up. Gold bullion is being mined everyday, therefore supplies are constantly increasing.
Quality and rarity of any particular coin play a large role in its specific value. The higher the quality the more valuable it will be. The same goes for rarity, the more scarce a coin is the more valuable it will be. Rarity is easily determined. PCGS keeps a population count for every coin ever minted in the U.S. in every grade. PCGS has also made grading simple. PCGS and NGC grade coins on a scale from 1-70, 70 being perfect condition. Where you find the performance is in the mint state category, which runs from 60 to 70.
You can see that if you have a high grade mixed in addition to a very rare coin the value would be very high compared to a coin that is of a lower grade and rarity. In fact one coin, the 1933 $20 Saint Gaudens, which was at the time considered to be the only one in existence, sold at auction for $7.5 million. Values range from a few thousand dollars per coin up to that amazing $7.5 million value. Buy rare gold coins.
Rare Gold Coins for Collecting
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Coin collecting is a prestigious hobby across the world today, but many do not realize that collecting coins didn’t become popular until the 16th century. This started with the resurgence of interest in Ancient Greek and Roman cultures. By the late 1500’s coin collecting had become very popular amongst nobility and the first rare coin auction was held in Leyden, Holland in 1598.
Over the years this once hobby to the kings has become popular to many well known persons, such as, John Quincy Adams, Cornelius Vanderbilt, Enrico Caruso, Theodore Roosevelt, Buddy Ebsen and Chris Schenkel. Today there are many collectors around the world. It is estimated that there are between 5-7 million collectors in the United States and as any as four to five times that worldwide.
Some of the world’s greatest coin collections are housed in popular museums around the world, like the Smithsonian in D.C. Because coins have been minted for over 2,000 years collectors have many options to choose from including: ancient Greek and Roman coins, U.S. rare gold coins and modern proof coins to name a few examples.
Values are determined not only by supply and demand (availability), but also rarity and quality. Rarity and quality are probably the two biggest factors in determining a coins value. The higher the quality/grade of a coin the more valuable, and the rarer a particular coin is the more valuable it will be. Values can range from under $100, up to multi-million dollar coins such as the 1933 $20 Saint-Gaudens which sold at auction for $7.9 million in July of 2002.
When amassing a coin collection many use the set building strategy, of which there are two basic forms: building by type or series. A type set is built with coins that share a single characteristic, ie design, designer, or denomination. A series is built with one coin from each date and mint of a particular type.
Other strategies are collecting by
die variety, historical period, mint mark and individual year or first and last year of issue of a particular coin.
Can I Profit from Owning Gold Coins?
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It is first important to distinguish between bullion and rare gold coins, which you can read more about in this blog or click on the rare gold coins link. Owning gold coins for long-term appreciation has proved to be lucrative in the past. It fact PCGS, one of the top two grading companies in the world has documented rare gold coin performance since 1970. They claim in their mint state rare gold coin chart (which is an index of coins) that since 1970 a $1,000 initial investment would be worth roughly $115,000 today. When comparing this chart to the DJIA (Dow), mint state rare gold coins have outperformed the Dow close to 11 to 1. You can do this calculation yourself to check out this comparison.
Rare gold coins have been accumulated by investors and collectors alike for many centuries and some collections have been documented as performing very well. Check out these examples:
1. Harold Bareford reportedly bought a collection of American gold coins for $13,832 in the early 1950s which was resold at auction in 1978 for $1.2 million.
2. Louis Eliasberg, built a collection that cost approximately $300,000. In 1982, it sold for $12.4 million at auction.
You can see that rare gold coins have performed well in the past, and it should be noted that past performance is no guarantee of future performance. We are currently experiencing a bull market for gold. Gold has gone from $252.85 in August of 1999 to $1,113.20 where it is now, at the time of this writing. That is a 340% increase in ten years. Gold bull markets make all gold boats float higher, and as a result we have seen rare gold coins perform very well and I fully expect them to go even higher as we enter the final or third phase of the gold bull market.
The third phase is the speculative or panic phase. This is where everyone wants in and everyone is putting their money into the asset driving prices above its fundamental value and usually very rapidly. We have not seen this third phase yet in gold and I believe it is still a few years out before we will.
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