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Bullion Bars & Ingots

Thursday, February 4, 2010
posted by ericg
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Gold is the hot topic right now. You can see ads for gold all over the web, radio, print and TV media. This increased awareness is due to a bull market that is in the middle of the second phase of three phase bull market. Gold has gone for $252 per ounce in 1999 to $1,063 per ounce where it sits today. That is over a 300% rise in value.

When people think about gold their minds usually go to jewelry. Most Americans own some form of gold jewelry, however very few people own gold as a financial asset. Some estimates put this figure somewhere around 3%. This will change as the market continues to heat up. As we enter the third phase gold could go up even more dramatically. Some experts are calling for $5,000 per ounce before the bull market is over.

Once someone begins to think about gold as a financial asset, they typically think about pure gold in the bar form. Sometimes people think about bullion coins, like American Eagles but pure gold is where the novice goes, even though bullion bars and coins are for the most part the same thing.

One confusion is the difference between bars and ingots. Bullion bars are virtually the same thing as bullion ingots. The only difference is that ingots are formed by pouring molten gold into a mold and chilled until solid, whereas bars are minted from blanks that have been hand cut into the proper dimensions. Markings are almost always applied by whoever formed them.

Which is better to buy? That depends on which one is the cheapest. Gold is gold when it is in the pure form. Typically the larger the quantity bar or ingot you buy the lower the premium you will pay per ounce. Therefore don’t get hung up on bar vs. ingots. When it comes to pure gold for inflation protection or price speculation buy the cheapest bar or ingot you can.

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Gold Coins with Motto and without Motto?

Monday, February 1, 2010
posted by ericg
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The motto on our gold coins is “In God We Trust.” This motto was added during the civil war and appeared on most of our “Liberty Head” coins from 1867 to 1907. In 1907 Theodore Roosevelt decided to have our gold coins redesigned in order to create a more beautiful coin, like those of the ancient Greek and Roman cultures. This coin is called the Saint Gaudens coin, after its designer Augustus Saint Gauden.

During the design process, Roosevelt asked that the motto be excluded. He knew that the men who used them in the West, were using them in brothels, saloons and gambling and thus he felt that the Lord’s name should not be associated with these activities. He expressed this feeling to reverend Roland C. Dryer in a letter dated November 11, 1907.

“My own feeling in the matter is due to my very firm conviction that to put such a motto [In God We Trust] on coins, or to use it in any kindred manner, not only does no good but does positive harm, and is in effect irreverence which comes dangerously close to sacrilege. A beautiful and solemn sentence such as the one in question should be treated and uttered only with that fine reverence which necessarily implies a certain exaltation of spirit. Any use which tends to cheapen it, and above all, any use which tends to secure it being treated in a spirit of levity, is from every standpoint profoundly to be regretted.”

Teddy Roosevelt’s wishes were granted and from 1907 to mid-way through 1908 and the coins were minted without the motto. It wasn’t until Congress got together and decided that they wanted the motto on our coins. They felt that it should be known that our nation believed in God and that it should be clearly stated on our currency. In 1908 the motto was put back on, therefore there are St. Gaudens coins that are minted both ways. There exists today a 1907 no motto, a 1908 no motto and a 1908 with motto. From 1908 to 1933 the coins continued to be minted with the motto.

Only roughly 5.2 million Saint Gaudens were minted without the motto, compared to over 65 million that were minted with the motto. This makes the no motto a rarer gold coin in relationship to mintages; however these coins are still fairly easy to acquire. There are rarer issues that exist, for example, there are roughly 10 1933 Saints know to exist.

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Cost of Gold

Thursday, January 28, 2010
posted by ericg
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The cost of gold is rising, and has been for the last 10 years consistently. This action confirms the current gold bull market (see the previous blog for 10 year spot chart). For individual buyers the cost of gold differentiates depending on what type of gold you buy. Whether you buy gold bullion coins or bars, or rare gold coins, these prices will vary greatly.

Currently the spot price of gold is at $1,175 per ounce. According to many experts this is a great value, because they believe gold will hit $2,000 per ounce this year. The spot price of gold is an indicator value, like crude oil is to gasoline, spot gold is to physical gold. Therefore the cost you pay for physical gold will be the spot price plus a premium. Typically the premium will be anywhere from $50 to $150 above the spot price.

Gold bullion coins cost more than gold bullion bars, due to manufacturing costs. Coins are struck multiple times and treated with more care than gold bars. Therefore if you are looking for the cheapest costing gold you should buy gold bars.

Rare gold coins cost more than bullion coins and bars. This type of gold can range in price from a few hundred dollars more than a bullion coin to seven figures. This is due to the rarity and quality of a particular coin. The more common and the lower the grade of a coin the lower the cost, the higher the grade and the rarer the coin, the higher the cost. This type of gold has benefits that extend beyond what bullion can provide. While rare gold coins have these added benefits they still have the intrinsic value of the gold itself, and history has shown that the value of gold has never been zero.

Figure out your goals and objectives, and then acquire the right type of gold to support those goals. The cost will vary, but this should not matter. It is more important to acquire the right type for you then to buy the cheapest gold.

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Can Gold Ride out the Financial Storm

Wednesday, January 27, 2010
posted by ericg
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Gold bullion and rare gold coins is the perfect instrument for riding out any financial storm. Global debt crisis, banking failures, over printing of money/collapse of the dollar, inflation/hyperinflation, turmoil in stock markets are a few examples of when gold shines. Gold has been valuable to human being for over 5,000 years. Currencies have come and gone, civilizations have fallen and technology has advanced and throughout all of it gold has proven to retain its worth.

The main reason people buy gold is to diversify their portfolio against downturns in paper assets. For example, when the collapse of many big banks in the U.S. occurred at the end of 2008, gold went from around $725 per ounce to close to $925 per ounce, a 27% increase. In 1987 when the stock market crashed, the infamous Black Monday, gold shot up to $500 per ounce, which was the highest level since 1983.

Gold bullion is primarily a hedge against inflation. In 1910 one ounce of gold could buy roughly 222 loaves of bread. Today that same one ounce of gold can buy roughly 275 loaves of bread. The dollar however has lost 95% of its purchasing power. If you owned $100 worth of gold in 1910 (5 oz) it would be worth roughly $5,500 today. In comparison, if you had $100 dollars in 1910 it would be worth roughly $5 today. That is a pretty big difference.

There have been many financial and global crises over history, and yet gold has always survived as a safe haven. Therefore don’t you think that as we continue to go through this global financial crisis gold will continue to be a safe haven for your dollars?

On a side note, look at the chart below, for the last 10 years gold has been in a positive trend cycle. Does this look like a bubble formation? Absolutely not! It has accumulated approximately 17% per year, building support and resistance all along the way.

spot-gold11

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What to Buy, Gold Coins or Gold Bars

Monday, January 25, 2010
posted by ericg
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A very common question is always what form of gold should I buy. Before you can answer this question you must understand the different types of gold you can own (click on bullion in the next sentance and rare gold coins in the last paragraph to read about them first). You can buy gold bullion or you can buy rare gold coins. If you are convinced that bullion is the way to go then, in my opinion, you should buy the cheapest possible option available. That can change depending on supply and demand.

Bullion coins come in many possible options. They vary in country of origin and in size. Depending on market conditions one particular coin can be more readily available than another. For example, there have been times recently that American Eagles were very sought after and commanded a higher price than the Canadian Maple Leaf. Both represent one full ounce of gold, but because of supply and demand issues one cost more than the other.

Coins typically cost more to produce than bars. Therefore a bar of gold is typically cheaper to purchase than a coin of the same number of ounces. In addition, if you purchase a large number of ounces at a time (typically 50 or more) you get a price break. This works for coins or bars. If you are looking for the absolute cheapest way to own gold, then bars in larger ounce sizes are for you. If you are looking for something to barter with in the event of a dollar collapse, then coins of the smallest sizes are for you. If you are looking for beauty in addition to owning gold, then proof one ounce coins are for you.

This brings us to rare gold coins. Many rare gold coin owners acquire U.S. rare gold coins minted prior to 1933. They are minted in identical ounce sizes as American Eagles; however these coins offer many advantages above and beyond their bullion content. Advantages like privacy, exclusion from previous gold confiscations and performance over bullion gold make this form of gold the best way to own gold in many peoples’ eyes. If you are looking for beauty, privacy, historical significance and long-term performance, then this type of gold is for you. They are more expensive than gold bullion due to their performance over history, and depending on how rare a particular coin is, it can be worth millions. When buying this type of gold coin, you are buying more than just the gold content.

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How to Invest in Gold

Tuesday, January 19, 2010
posted by ericg
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All portfolios need diversification. Diversification allows a portfolio to be well-rounded. While some assets in a portfolio go down others go up in order to offset those losses. This is the smart way to build for the future. The key is to acquire assets that are not closely correlated to each other, like gold and stocks, or gold and dollars.

People generally acquire gold in their portfolios in order to build in safety and stability. This is because when stocks fall dramatically more people flock to gold thus increasing the value of gold and offsetting losses. The same occurs when the dollar begins to fall. As the dollar losses value some of the increase in gold is due to the dollar falling, but most of the increase typically comes from predominant buying due to fear.

When acquiring any asset for diversification one should look into how that asset itself can be diversified. Stocks for example, can be bought in U.S. companies or foreign companies. Gold can also be diverse. There are two types of gold available; bullion and rare gold coins. Both will perform different tasks in a portfolio.

Bullion is typically used for pure asset protection. 1oz of gold today can buy roughly the same amount of goods that 1oz of gold could buy 100 years ago. Therefore it is known for keeping up with inflation. Also, in the event of a dollar collapse gold’s value would skyrocket.

Rare gold coins are typically used for asset protection plus growth. However inside of this asset class one can acquire coins that will perform differently. This is due to rarity factors. The rarer a coin is the better the opportunity for growth, and the more volatile. The less rare a coin is the more it will function like an asset protection type coin.

Once you have determined your goals and objectives with your portfolio, then you can decide what types of gold to acquire. Acquiring gold is smart, and history has proven its performance. Diversification is important in your portfolio and across asset classes.

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Gold Bullion Coins

Tuesday, January 19, 2010
posted by ericg
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Gold Bullion Coins come in many shapes and sizes, from as small as 1/25oz to as large as 220 pounds. The 220 pound coin was minted in Canada and is worth millions of dollars, however most gold coins that people buy are 1oz or smaller. Many countries have a mint at which they produce their own gold bullion coins. Here is a rough list of gold bullion coins:

American EagleeagleAustralia Kangaroo

Austria Koronas

Austria Ducats

Austria Vienna Philharmonic

Canada Maple Leaf

maple

Chile Peso

Chinese Panda

Colombia Peso

England Britannia

French Franc

Holland guilders

Hungary Koronas

Isle of Man Angel

Isle of Man Persian Cats

Italy Lire

Mexico Pesos

South Africa Krugerrand

krug

Swiss Franc

 

These coins range in gold purity. For example, the American Eagle is 22 carats which is 90% gold and 10% of another metal for durability. The coin still contains 1 ounce of pure gold. The Canadian Maple Leaf on the other hand is 24 carats. It is still 1 ounce of pure gold therefore it is a smaller sized coin than the Eagle because it does not contain any other metal. The sizes of gold bullion coins vary for this reason.

As you can imagine, every coin has a different design and some are more beautiful than others, but for the most part this makes no difference on the value. A gold bullion coins value is determined by how much gold it contains. Therefore any common issue coins do not carry any collector premium. If you own a 1oz American Eagle then it is worth the spot price of gold plus a premium depending on supply and demand, and the particular broker/dealer you are working with.

Bullion coins can be acquired in a self-directed Gold IRA. In certain instances they are reportable to the IRS upon the sale of them and they are considered to be subject to confiscation by the government. With all of the upward predictions for 2010 that are coming out these coins could be worth much more in the future.

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Gold Outlook for 2010

Monday, January 18, 2010
posted by ericg
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At the beginning of every year the “experts” come out with their predictions on the precious metals market. These predictions vary every year in their overall gold price target and timing, and should be taken as an estimate, a guide for your strategy. Never the less what is being predicted for 2010 is very exciting for those who own gold or may consider to buy gold coins this year.

James Turk

James Turk is well known for his predictions in the precious metals market. Since the 1970’s people have followed him religiously, in order to guide their decisions in the gold market. Mr. Turk got the price target for 2009 correct. He stated that gold would break $1,000 per ounce and hold above it into 2010. He is calling for gold to break $2,000 per ounce in 2010. The timing is not clear, just that it will break $2,000 this year. He also calls for a floor under gold of $1,050 per ounce, which is the price at which India bought 200 metric tonnes from the IMF at. He also states that we are in the second phase of a three phase bull market.

Rob McEwen

Rob McEwen is the chairman and CEO of U.S. Gold, a gold mining company. He was recently seen on Bloomberg and stated that he believes that gold will go to $2,000 per ounce this year and that it will go to $5,000 per ounce between 2012 and 2014. He states that this is due to the U.S. government printing dollars at an alarming rate and a lack of supply to meet worldwide demand.

Frank Holmes

Frank Holmes is the CEO of U.S. Global Investors. He states on Market Watch, that gold could break $2,300 per ounce which is its inflation adjusted high of $850 per ounce in 1980. He believes that this will be due to a shrinking supply of gold and worldwide inflationary pressures. He does not say exactly when this will occur, but that he believes that it will occur.

There are many more predictions that you can find if you search for them. Even Merrill Lynch is predicting higher gold prices for 2010. This is encouraging news for those that own gold or are considering entering the market today. If someone bought gold today at $1,133 per ounce and it went to $2,000 an ounce by the end of 2010, that would be an increase of 76%!

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The Elusive Proof Gold Coins

Friday, January 15, 2010
posted by ericg
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Proof gold coins are among the rarest numismatic coins available on the market today. They offer a unique combination of beauty and extreme rarity. Because of their rarity they command attention and demand from well established collectors worldwide. This not only makes proof coins hard to come by, but also makes them very expensive. Some rare gold coins can easily run into the six figure range. Although there are some pleasing issues that exist for a few thousand dollars.

Proof gold coins were struck in the United States between 1820 and 1915 and promoted to collectors starting in 1858. Because they were not marketed to collectors until 1858 mintages prior to that year are very small and hard to find.

Proof gold coins are set apart from business strike coins by the care taken to mint each coin. Each coin is struck multiple times on high polished planchets, compared to only one time with business strike coins. This may not sound like a big deal, but it is an attempt by the most skilled engravers and pressmen to create a flawless coin of perfection. Gold is one of the softest metals further complicating the minting process. This factor in combination with extremely low mintages, sometimes only 50, makes finding pristine examples very difficult.

Because of this difficulty to locate proof gold coins, collectors sometimes wait years to find the coin they are looking for. Unlike business strike coins, proof coins were rare the day they were minted. With original mintages of around 50 examples, and typical survival rates of around 50%, a slight increase in demand can create dramatic run-ups in value. If you are enthralled with owning a significant piece of history, and admire beauty and craftsmanship, then owning proof gold coins might be the right fit for you.

1888_10_ngc_pf65uc_front_back

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1913 Liberty Head Nickel Sells for $3.7 Million

Wednesday, January 13, 2010
posted by ericg
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Earlier this year a very rare nickel sold at a Florida public auction to an east coast coin collector. The 1913 Liberty Head Nickel sold for $3.7 million! It is one of only five known to exist in that particular date and design. The coin was minted in Philadelphia with the Miss Liberty design.

1913 Libery Head Nickel

The coin was once owned by an Egyptian King named King Farouk. It was also featured in a Hawaii Five-O episode in 1973.

The value of the rare coin didn’t breach the $1 million mark until 2003. This is an extreme example of how rare coins can perform over a long period time. Rare coins have been regarded for a long time for their performance, privacy and their historic immunity from confiscation. Check out this chart showing the performance of the Liberty Head Nickel over the past 67 years.  What an amazing journey!

 

 

 

 

1913-nickel1

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